Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.975625e-05 0.000084 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000160 0.000184
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.344961e-05 0.000072 0.000094 0.000121 0.000152 0.000187 0.000228
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.251879e-05 0.000063 0.000088 0.000119 0.000157 0.000201 0.000254
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.293687e-05 0.000054 0.000081 0.000116 0.000160 0.000213 0.000278
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.624173e-05 0.000047 0.000075 0.000113 0.000162 0.000222 0.000297
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.126090e-05 0.000042 0.000071 0.000112 0.000167 0.000234 0.000321
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.806539e-05 0.000039 0.000069 0.000113 0.000173 0.000248 0.000346
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.461075e-05 0.000035 0.000066 0.000112 0.000176 0.000258 0.000366
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.114133e-05 0.000030 0.000060 0.000108 0.000175 0.000262 0.000378
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.248170e-06 0.000027 0.000058 0.000108 0.000180 0.000274 0.000401
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.651941e-06 0.000023 0.000053 0.000103 0.000176 0.000274 0.000408
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.596879e-06 0.000022 0.000052 0.000104 0.000182 0.000287 0.000432
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.753711e-06 0.000018 0.000048 0.000100 0.000181 0.000292 0.000448
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.888881e-06 0.000016 0.000047 0.000102 0.000189 0.000309 0.000479
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.007154e-06 0.000014 0.000044 0.000101 0.000192 0.000320 0.000503
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.199862e-06 0.000012 0.000041 0.000098 0.000192 0.000326 0.000519
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.991436e-07 0.000010 0.000038 0.000096 0.000192 0.000333 0.000537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.937303e-07 0.000009 0.000036 0.000095 0.000195 0.000342 0.000559
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.424865e-07 0.000008 0.000035 0.000096 0.000201 0.000357 0.000588
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.042358e-07 0.000007 0.000033 0.000094 0.000203 0.000366 0.000608
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.085459e-08 0.000005 0.000030 0.000091 0.000201 0.000368 0.000619
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.699259e-09 0.000005 0.000029 0.000091 0.000205 0.000380 0.000644
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000004 0.000026 0.000086 0.000200 0.000378 0.000650